Who in 1970 would have predicted that in 2000, tens of millions of Americans would be actively managing their retirement portfolios with home computers? We see an analogous transition about to happen with health benefits. Indeed, employer-managed, defined-benefit health plans will be largely gone within the next 15 to 20 years, and perhaps sooner.
Their demise seems inevitable — to winners and losers alike in the coming transition to defined-contribution, consumer-driven health benefits.
Reprint No. 00204
J. Philip Lathrop, [email protected]
J. Philip Lathrop is an advisor on managed care to Booz Allen Hamilton.
Gary Ahlquist, [email protected]
Gary Ahlquist is a senior vice president with Booz Allen Hamilton’s Chicago office. He specializes in the strategy-driven transformation of insurance companies, health plans, and health-care providers.
David G. Knott, [email protected]
David G. Knott is a vice president with Booz Allen Hamilton in New York. Dr. Knott leads the firm’s strategy work in the health services sector.